2026 Home-Price Forecast Cools

Existing-home price growth in Global was projected at ~1% through year-end, down from ~2% earlier, signaling a cooler market and easing pricing-out fears.
Monthly mortgage payments were projected to dip ~2% yearly as values rose more slowly, offering buyers tighter budgeting room and potentially drawing sidelined demand back.
Rents were expected to edge down ~1% as new rental supply expanded, giving tenants more options and pushing landlords toward sharper pricing or lease terms.
Existing-home sales growth was revised to ~4% from ~9%, reflecting how mortgage rates above ~6% constrained purchasing power and kept overall activity modest.
For Global buyers, the setup favored preparation: monitor rate swings, assess affordability carefully, and act when financing and personal readiness align best.

Diverging trends across Canada’s housing markets in July

Canada's housing markets show mixed trends: recovery signs in Toronto and Ottawa, setbacks in Vancouver, Winnipeg, and Hamilton, and supply constraints in Calgary. Toronto sees consecutive price gains but remains below pre-pandemic levels, especially in condos. Montreal experiences a controlled slowdown with balanced supply and demand. Vancouver faces a prolonged slump with falling prices and sales. Calgary's supply tightens amid cooling prices, particularly in condos.

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Canada’s Housing Market Remains Resilient Amid CREA Outlook Update

The Canadian resale housing market is forecasted to decline 1.4% in 2026, reversing earlier growth expectations, with 463,336 properties projected to sell. The national average home price is expected to rise 1.1% to $686,710, slightly below previous estimates. Regional disparities persist, with Quebec and Atlantic Canada facing demand drops due to population decline, while Ontario drives recovery. Alberta sees rising prices, and Newfoundland and Labrador remains a strong seller's market.

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‘Long road ahead’ in Canada’s housing market recovery: RBC report

Canada's housing market showed a modest recovery with a 0.5% rise in home resales in June, extending a three-month increase but slowing from previous gains. Home sales in 2026 are forecasted to decline by 1.4%, with average prices expected to rise 1.1% to $686,710. Inventories are stabilizing in Ontario and B.C., easing seller competition. Regional trends vary, with some areas seeing price appreciation while others remain below last year's levels. Buyer hesitation due to economic uncertainty and affordability challenges persists.

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Canada First-Time Buyer Playbook 2026

~7-in-10 Canadians see the market as unfair to first-time buyers, and the starting point is honest expectations around sacrifice, goals, and trade-offs.
Pre-approval matters because minimum down payments rise with price, lenders may ask for more, and monthly affordability depends on income, debts, insurance, closing costs, upkeep.
Savings tools include a first-home savings account with up to $8K yearly and $40K total, plus a tax-free retirement-plan withdrawal option for buyers.
Beyond savings accounts and retirement-plan tools, buyers may qualify for a $1.5K federal credit, new-home tax rebates, and provincial or local assistance.
Stay grounded: use local board and portal data, set a bidding ceiling, focus on must-haves, and lean on trusted Real Estate and mortgage pros.

Canada: Buy Now or Wait on Housing?

A recent poll found 64% of Canadians said timing a home purchase perfectly is impossible, while 73% said economic uncertainty makes acting harder.
Among Canadians planning to buy within the next 2 yr, 45% said now is the right time, versus 27% of Canadians overall.
Some purchasing power returned as borrowing costs eased, but mortgage rates remained well above earlier ultra-low levels, helping explain why caution still dominated decisions.
To make ownership work, 69% expected to delay major purchases, 62% planned smaller vacations, and 60% said spending and saving habits need reworking.
Even with caution, 53% of prospective buyers saw only a small window to capture lower prices before they rise again, yet 40% felt informed.

Canada’s Foreign Buyer Ban Ends in 2027

Canada’s foreign-buyer ban is set to expire January 1, 2027, and federal officials are exploring rules steering offshore money toward new construction and redevelopment.
Housing supply remains central: the housing agency says Canada must roughly double annual starts over the next decade, from ~259K now to 430K-480K.
The model under review would allow foreign purchases of new construction and vacant land, while keeping existing homes off-limits to direct capital toward supply.
Current rules already include some exemptions for vacant land, redevelopment and certain publicly traded entities in Canada, and they apply mainly across Canada’s urban markets.
Mortgage brokers, agents, lawyers and notaries have a stake in the policy shift, and current rules make protective contract provisions especially important.
As the 2027 expiry nears, policymakers are expected to sort access by property type and development intent, reopening targeted segments to foreign capital.

StatCan: Immigrant homeownership climbs while Canadian-born rates slip

New data shows immigrants are buying homes faster despite affordability challenges. In several provinces, immigrant homeownership rates in their fifth year have risen, narrowing the gap with Canadian-born residents. Most immigrant homeowners had prior Canadian experience, aiding mortgage qualification. Immigrants buy more expensive homes and face higher mortgage payments but contribute less to retirement savings, increasing financial exposure amid market shifts.

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Canada housing affordability and market trends

Home buying in Canada has become more challenging due to a pandemic-driven housing boom and inflation spikes. The Bank of Canada raised rates sharply from 2022 to 2023 but has since cut rates nine times, holding the overnight rate at 2.25%. Inflation is expected to ease toward the 2% target, reducing the likelihood of further cuts. Elevated bond yields, influenced by inflation and geopolitical risks, keep fixed mortgage rates high.

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